Fortaleza EC vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
5.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
BRA
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 1
AGU
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
FOR
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
HOR
5 - 2
ITA
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
SAO
1 - 3
ITA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
4 - 4
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |