Fortaleza EC vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 3
FOR
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 0
GOI
42%
27%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
LON
1 - 1
FOR
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
3 - 1
CRB
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 2
FOR
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
CRI
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 3
CSA
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
COT
2 - 1
CRI
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 1
PPE
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |