Fortaleza EC vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
12.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
15.2%
3-0
17.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.9%
2-0
17%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
16.5%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
3%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
7.4%
1.7%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 0
IGU
83%
13%
4%
|
86 | 41 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
FOR
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
6 - 0
BRA
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
PAL
4 - 0
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAU
24%
22%
55%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAU
63%
19%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 0
CAU
89%
8%
2%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
FOR
8%
18%
74%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
CAU
31%
23%
46%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |