Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 1
FOR
57%
24%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
COR
41%
29%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FLU
2 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CEA
0 - 1
FOR
50%
26%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 0
SCI
35%
29%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLA
15%
21%
65%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
BOT
34%
29%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
0 - 0
ATL
35%
27%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
36%
28%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |