Fort William vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
67%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
6 - 1
FOR
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BUC
6 - 2
FOR
88%
9%
4%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DEV
4 - 1
FOR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
TUR
9 - 0
FOR
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 3
FOR
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
INV
2 - 4
KEI
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
HUN
2 - 6
KEI
54%
22%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
NAI
1 - 2
KEI
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 0
CLA
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 5
COV
7%
14%
79%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |