Fort Wayne Fever vs Flint City Bucks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
64.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort Wayne Fever
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
CLE
2 - 0
FWF
73%
17%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
FWF
0 - 0
IND
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
FWF
1 - 1
WES
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
WES
5 - 0
FWF
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
IND
2 - 1
FWF
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flint City Bucks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MIC
1 - 1
KAL
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
KAL
3 - 1
MIC
26%
25%
50%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
TOR
0 - 3
MIC
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2008 |
MIC
2 - 1
KAL
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2008 |
MIC
3 - 3
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |