Forres Mechanics vs Rothes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.5%
Win probability
3.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 4
FOR
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LOS
0 - 2
FOR
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
DEV
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
WIC
2 - 0
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 5
INV
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Rothes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
BUC
7 - 0
ROT
78%
14%
9%
|
7 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ROT
1 - 3
STR
48%
20%
32%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HUN
5 - 0
ROT
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 9
TUR
7%
13%
80%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ROT
0 - 3
FOR
9%
14%
77%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |