Forres Mechanics vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
BUC
2 - 6
FOR
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROT
90%
7%
3%
|
37 | 7 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LOS
1 - 4
FOR
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LOS
0 - 2
FOR
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
DEV
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
KEI
3 - 2
STR
86%
9%
4%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 5
HUN
36%
22%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 5
INV
11%
15%
74%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
TUR
6 - 1
KEI
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KEI
1 - 0
FOR
45%
21%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |