Forres Mechanics vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 0
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
COV
36%
23%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 2
FOR
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
5 - 2
CLA
60%
19%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 3
WIC
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
KEI
2 - 3
CLA
22%
20%
58%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
KEI
13%
16%
71%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
DEV
5 - 3
KEI
77%
15%
9%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FRA
4 - 1
KEI
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
KEI
0 - 4
COV
12%
16%
72%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |