Forres Mechanics vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
WIC
0 - 1
FOR
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
LOS
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
COV
3 - 2
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
BRO
18%
22%
60%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 5
KEI
49%
23%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
KEI
5 - 2
LOS
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KEI
0 - 4
ELG
17%
21%
63%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
4 - 0
KEI
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
KEI
0 - 2
BUC
25%
25%
51%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 5
KEI
49%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |