Forres Mechanics vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 0
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 2
BUC
32%
26%
42%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CLA
3 - 1
FOR
38%
23%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
HUN
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NAI
0 - 1
KEI
66%
18%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
KEI
1 - 1
CLA
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 2
KEI
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
KEI
5 - 0
ROT
60%
21%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TUR
1 - 1
KEI
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |