Scottish Cup 1/128
Global 5-8
Forres Mechanics vs Irvine Meadow XI FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
THE
4 - 0
FOR
63%
19%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 0
THE
39%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
COL
1 - 3
FOR
39%
23%
38%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 0
BUC
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BUC
0 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Irvine Meadow XI FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
HIB
3 - 0
IRV
85%
11%
4%
|
30 | 77 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
IRV
1 - 0
ARB
19%
23%
59%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | +6 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SEL
0 - 3
IRV
74%
16%
11%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 2
IRV
78%
15%
8%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | +2 |