Forres Mechanics vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
80.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
11º
68
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
4 - 1
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 1
DEV
77%
14%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 2
WIC
55%
21%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 4
FRA
5%
12%
83%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 0
ROT
85%
10%
5%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
STR
69%
17%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 1
FRA
22%
22%
56%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 0
CLA
93%
6%
2%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | 0 |