Forres Mechanics vs Fraserburgh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
TUR
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +3 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
LOS
71%
17%
13%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 5
FOR
4%
13%
82%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
WIC
29%
23%
48%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fraserburgh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 1
CLA
84%
11%
5%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
HUN
2 - 2
FRA
8%
16%
75%
|
51 | 23 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
FRA
4 - 0
STR
91%
6%
2%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
FOR
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |