Forres Mechanics vs Deveronvale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
18.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
6º
16º
10º
43
6º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
JSW
21%
18%
61%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
4 - 3
WIC
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
HUN
3 - 4
FOR
71%
16%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 2
FRA
5%
12%
83%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
INV
4 - 1
FOR
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 4
BON
15%
19%
66%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
3 - 2
BRO
4%
11%
85%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 2
DEV
79%
13%
9%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 1
ROT
45%
22%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 0
DEV
86%
10%
4%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | -1 |