Forres Mechanics vs Buckie Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
82.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18.3%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
11º
11º
87
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
KEI
2 - 6
FOR
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 1
FOR
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
FOR
10%
18%
72%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
2 - 1
FOR
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WIC
1 - 1
FOR
25%
22%
54%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 0
NAI
87%
10%
4%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 1
ROT
81%
13%
7%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
BRO
0 - 2
BUC
35%
23%
41%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 3
BUC
16%
19%
65%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BUC
5 - 0
CLA
90%
8%
2%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |