Fornos de Algodres vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
75.3%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
FAL
91%
7%
2%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 5
BEN
6%
13%
81%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
6 - 0
FAL
89%
9%
3%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
UDL
4 - 0
FAL
89%
9%
3%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
OLE
9%
15%
76%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLE
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
SOU
23%
21%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
ADN
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ADM
4 - 2
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 4
LUS
22%
27%
51%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |