Fornos de Algodres vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
64.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MOR
1 - 0
FAL
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FAL
3 - 1
ALM
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FCO
2 - 1
FAL
14%
19%
67%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FAL
5 - 1
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 1
FAL
27%
22%
51%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GAF
3 - 0
OLE
51%
22%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 4
ADO
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MER
2 - 1
GAF
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 2
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 0
GAF
79%
15%
6%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +1 |