Formosa vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LUZ
1 - 0
FOR
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
BDF
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SOB
5 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
LEG
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
6 - 1
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
3 - 1
BDF
54%
23%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 3
CEI
27%
26%
48%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 0
CEI
72%
19%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 7
GAM
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
0 - 5
CEI
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |