Formosa vs Botafogo DF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
2 - 2
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
CEI
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CFZ
0 - 2
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 1
GAM
21%
22%
58%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
BRA
19%
21%
60%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo DF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
BDF
3 - 1
BRA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CFZ
1 - 1
BDF
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
CEI
1 - 2
BDF
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BDF
1 - 1
CEI
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BDF
2 - 2
GAM
17%
21%
63%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +1 |