Formigine vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formigine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 0
FOR
76%
17%
8%
|
25 | 57 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAG
29%
25%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
ASL
15%
22%
63%
|
22 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 1
PIA
28%
25%
48%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 1
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 0
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
VIR
4 - 2
VIR
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 2
VIR
38%
25%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |