Formigine vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
53.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formigine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
THE
2 - 1
FOR
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAM
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FID
1 - 0
FOR
36%
25%
40%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
RIC
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 1
FOR
37%
24%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 3
ROM
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COR
3 - 3
VIR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
5 - 1
FOR
85%
11%
4%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MEZ
2 - 1
VIR
38%
25%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
3 - 2
ASL
27%
25%
48%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |