Formigine vs Rosignano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formigine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MEZ
3 - 0
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 3
MAS
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PIA
1 - 0
FOR
68%
18%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
CAM
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
FOR
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rosignano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ROS
3 - 2
CAM
31%
24%
46%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
VIR
5 - 1
ROS
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ROS
1 - 2
PIA
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PIS
4 - 0
ROS
77%
16%
7%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ROS
1 - 2
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |