Formigine vs US Forcoli 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formigine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
ASL
14%
23%
63%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
COR
4 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 3
FOR
26%
24%
51%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MEZ
3 - 3
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
IMO
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
ACM
15%
23%
62%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
COR
8%
16%
75%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
MAS
1 - 0
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |