Formiga EC vs Poços de Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formiga EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FEC
0 - 0
TRI
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
3 - 0
FEC
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PDC
0 - 0
FEC
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FEC
2 - 2
TOM
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
FEC
3 - 2
16%
21%
64%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Poços de Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PDC
0 - 1
15%
20%
64%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
2 - 1
PDC
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PDC
0 - 0
FEC
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PDC
2 - 1
SOC
33%
25%
41%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TOM
1 - 2
PDC
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |