Formiga EC vs Poços de Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formiga EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
TOM
2 - 0
FEC
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
FEC
0 - 1
TOM
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PDC
2 - 2
FEC
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 1
FEC
41%
26%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
FEC
1 - 1
TRI
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Poços de Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PDC
3 - 0
ECI
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
ECI
1 - 0
PDC
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
PDC
2 - 2
FEC
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
PDC
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
PDC
2 - 1
TOM
25%
24%
51%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +2 |