Formiga EC vs Poços de Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formiga EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FUN
1 - 0
FEC
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FEC
1 - 1
ARA
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 0
FEC
49%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
FEC
2 - 1
AME
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IPA
0 - 1
FEC
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Poços de Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
PDC
1 - 2
AME
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
PDC
3 - 0
VAL
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FUN
2 - 1
PDC
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
PDC
1 - 3
CAL
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ECI
2 - 2
PDC
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |