Formentera vs UD Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
DNA
4 - 1
FOR
76%
14%
10%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 3
CIU
9%
13%
78%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RAV
6 - 0
FOR
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 1
FOR
73%
16%
11%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
ALT
42%
22%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UDA
4 - 3
ELS
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
DNA
5 - 0
UDA
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CIU
2 - 1
UDA
65%
18%
17%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UDA
2 - 2
SPO
45%
22%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
RAV
4 - 3
UDA
77%
13%
10%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |