Formentera vs Murada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
67.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
DOL
2 - 0
FOR
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
DHO
15%
19%
66%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
MON
37%
22%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
5 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 4
ISI
40%
22%
38%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Murada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 1
BEN
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 4
MUR
41%
22%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 2
MUR
47%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 3
MON
58%
20%
22%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
BOR
2 - 6
MUR
19%
20%
62%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |