Formentera vs Bigastro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
65.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 0
FOR
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAL
36%
23%
41%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 0
MUR
35%
24%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 1
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
RAC
17%
20%
64%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bigastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
BIG
4 - 1
BEN
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RAC
2 - 3
BIG
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
BIG
2 - 2
ISI
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RAC
1 - 2
BIG
30%
23%
47%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BIG
1 - 1
MON
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |