Forli vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 0
MEZ
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
IMO
1 - 2
FOR
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 3
LEN
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LEG
0 - 0
FOR
16%
22%
61%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
RIB
71%
19%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
AVI
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 2
RIB
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
CLO
2 - 2
VIR
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 0
PAR
7%
17%
76%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MEZ
1 - 2
VIR
39%
24%
36%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |