Forli vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+117%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
RAV
2 - 1
FOR
67%
19%
13%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
TRI
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 0
BAG
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ACP
1 - 0
FOR
56%
23%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
LEN
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
ASD
31%
23%
47%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BAG
2 - 1
PRO
46%
23%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
SER
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 2
COR
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LEN
2 - 0
PRO
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |