Forli vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+115%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
FIO
25%
26%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAG
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
FOR
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 2
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
ACA
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
1 - 0
SER
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 2
PRO
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 1
PRO
64%
19%
17%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 2
ACP
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |