Forli vs Santarcangelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
TER
3 - 1
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
PIA
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 1
FOR
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
SAN
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
SPA
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
7%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASL
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
PON
0 - 1
SAN
78%
16%
7%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACP
21%
25%
54%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |