Forli vs Pelli Santacroce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PIS
3 - 1
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIL
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
FOR
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
TUT
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
ROS
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pelli Santacroce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 0
ROS
25%
25%
50%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 1
PEL
69%
18%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 5
MEZ
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAG
1 - 0
PEL
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PEL
2 - 0
ASS
19%
23%
58%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +3 |