Forli vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+126%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
26%
25%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 3
ROM
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
FOR
25%
25%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 2
ASD
80%
13%
8%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
FAN
2 - 0
FOR
50%
26%
24%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
MON
3 - 0
VIL
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 2
MON
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
ASD
88%
9%
4%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ACS
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
GAV
2 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |