Forli vs Vastese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
23.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
ISE
1 - 1
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
FOR
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 2
FOR
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAV
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 2
SAN
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
ASD
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
SAN
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 1
ASD
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
MAT
21%
22%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |