Forge vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
ORL
0 - 0
FOR
68%
19%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 1
FOR
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 0
ATO
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAV
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
NEC
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ATS
3 - 3
MON
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MON
2 - 3
PAC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
PUE
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |