Forge vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
41.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAC
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
MOT
0 - 0
FOR
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
MOT
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
YOR
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
CAV
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 2
NEC
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2022 |
LEO
0 - 1
CAZ
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AME
3 - 1
CAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
CAZ
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 0
JUA
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |