Forfar Athletic vs Hibernian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
80.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.2%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.6%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ELG
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
STE
2 - 1
FOR
66%
21%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
EAS
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 4
DUM
32%
25%
44%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SER
5 - 1
HIB
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 2
MHE
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
HIB
0 - 1
HOM
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
HIB
19%
25%
56%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 1
HIB
21%
26%
54%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |