Forfar Athletic vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 1
STE
65%
20%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 3
DUN
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 0
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
AIR
0 - 1
FOR
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
QUE
0 - 2
FOR
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HOM
3 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
ROS
1 - 2
HOM
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
HOM
2 - 0
MHE
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
HOM
42%
28%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
HOM
4 - 3
STJ
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |