US Forcoli 1921 vs Virtus Pavullese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
FOR
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 0
FOR
75%
18%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAG
52%
24%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAS
0 - 1
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
ASL
13%
23%
65%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Pavullese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
4 - 1
ROS
41%
25%
33%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
FID
31%
25%
44%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIR
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 3
MEZ
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIR
39%
25%
37%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |