US Forcoli 1921 vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FID
0 - 0
FOR
56%
25%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
THE
11%
19%
69%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SAC
0 - 2
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAM
21%
25%
55%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CLO
1 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
2 - 1
MEZ
40%
25%
35%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASL
1 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 3
MAS
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |