US Forcoli 1921 vs Virtus Castelfranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RIC
1 - 0
FOR
35%
25%
41%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 5
PIS
18%
24%
59%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
VIR
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
FOR
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 0
FOR
75%
18%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
3 - 3
FID
51%
23%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 3
VIR
47%
26%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 3
MEZ
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
VIR
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
PIA
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |