US Forcoli 1921 vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 3
FOR
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
2 - 2
DER
40%
26%
35%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ASD
0 - 2
FOR
43%
25%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SSD
3 - 1
MON
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ORV
1 - 1
SSD
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SSD
2 - 0
ACD
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
GAV
0 - 0
SSD
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SSD
3 - 1
SGP
45%
25%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |