US Forcoli 1921 vs Castel San Pietro Terme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
BAG
1 - 0
FOR
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ROS
1 - 1
FOR
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
1 - 1
VIR
65%
20%
14%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ORV
2 - 1
FOR
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 1
ACD
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Castel San Pietro Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CSP
0 - 1
VIR
65%
20%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
PER
2 - 0
CSP
51%
26%
23%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
CSP
1 - 2
ROS
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
CSP
3 - 1
ASC
36%
26%
38%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PON
0 - 1
CSP
66%
21%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |