US Forcoli 1921 vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
58.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
VIR
50%
25%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
FOR
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
4 - 0
FOR
75%
18%
8%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
BAG
52%
24%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAS
0 - 1
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PIS
0 - 0
FID
61%
23%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 3
PIS
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PIS
1 - 2
MEZ
49%
26%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
PIS
17%
22%
62%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
PIS
0 - 0
PIA
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |