US Forcoli 1921 vs Pelli Santacroce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 1
FOR
70%
20%
10%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 5
FOR
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 4
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ROS
3 - 2
FOR
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pelli Santacroce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 0
SAN
15%
21%
64%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
PEL
72%
19%
10%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 3
CER
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ACE
1 - 1
PEL
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PEL
0 - 3
SCA
17%
22%
60%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |