US Forcoli 1921 vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
64.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ROS
2 - 1
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FID
1 - 0
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BAG
0 - 1
FOR
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ASL
0 - 0
FID
77%
15%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
ASL
13%
22%
65%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASL
0 - 0
MEZ
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
ASL
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 22 | 32 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
ASL
4 - 2
SIR
54%
25%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |