US Forcoli 1921 vs Cerea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Forcoli 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ACE
3 - 1
FOR
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
SCA
34%
27%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
RAV
1 - 0
FOR
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
LAN
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 2
FOR
32%
25%
43%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Cerea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CER
1 - 2
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 2
CER
49%
25%
27%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TUT
1 - 2
CER
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CER
1 - 2
ACE
37%
25%
39%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SCA
0 - 1
CER
50%
24%
27%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |